Thursday 29 November 2012

INDIA’S 5.5 PERCENT

Money Control

WHY INDIA STRUGGLES TO DELIVER ITS GROWTH POTENTIAL

India is going to deliver its third quarter growth numbers on Friday and expectations are running low as Asia`s third largest economy has had a disappointing year so far, with gross domestic product (GDP) growth languishing around 5.5 percent.

CNBC-MoneyControl, November 29, 2012

The world`s largest democracy, which boasts of a burgeoning domestic market coupled with a youthful population, has seen much better days - just two years ago it was growing at a robust 8-plus percent.

But today it`s faced with the prospect of being the first BRIC (Brazil, Russia, India, China) nation to have its credit ratings cut to junk as investors begin to lose faith in India`s growth story.

(Read more: Does IMF's Dismal India Forecast Signal a Hard Landing?)

Uncertainty surrounding government policies - despite recent reforms to attract foreign investment - a ballooning deficit, sky-high inflation and a currency that has slumped over the last year, have all added to India`s growth woes eroding investor confidence, said experts.

"The key factor that has led to the deceleration in GDP growth from above 8 percent levels to the last quarterly print of 5.5 percent is a near collapse in investments," Rohini Malkani, economist at Citi, wrote in a report.

Growth in capital formation, or the transfer of savings from households and the government to businesses, has fallen from double-digits in the 2005 fiscal year to single-digits in 2011, according to Citi data.

(...) [artículo aquí]

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