US IN 2030: “FIRST AMONG EQUALS”

INDIA-CHINA UNLIKELY TO TOPPLE AMERICAN SUPREMACY BY 2030: INTELLIGENCE

The Economic Times, December 11, 2012

The US will be the "first among equals" in a world not dominated by a hegemonic power as neither China nor India are likely to topple the American supremacy to create a new international order by 2030, the US intelligence believes.

The replacement of the US by another global power and the creation of a new international order seem to be the least likely outcome in this time period.
"No other power is likely to achieve such a role in the time frame under any plausible scenario,"Christopher Kojm, Chairman of National Intelligence Council, told reporters at a news conference.

Kojm was responding to questions after the release of 'Global Trend 2030' report of the National Intelligence Council (NIC).

Mathew Burrows, Counselor to the NIC and author of the report insisted that Asian giants like China and India are unlikely to replace the US as the world power, because like Washington, Beijing or New Delhi do not have the capacity to form an international coalition or mobilise global opinion on any particular issue.

"Well, the economy is one important factor in a country's power. And our main point here is that, the Asian powers... talking here about China and India -- don't have the means like the US does of really pulling together coalitions -- these are coalitions not only of states but also non-state actors -- in dealing with the global challenges.

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